Open-Quote
0x08e00a34d3d957c278ff022acb88b34d5003bfdf
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$367.88
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$-645.87
Win rate
8%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
718 shares @ 18.1¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$130.36
$0.36
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
289 shares @ 24.2¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$70.40
$0.40
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
29 shares @ 89.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
30 shares @ 66.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$19.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
12 shares @ 86.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.76
$0.76
- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$10.69
$0.69
- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?
24 shares @ 42.5¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$9.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
39 shares @ 25.4¢·now 25.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
17 shares @ 59.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$9.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
27 shares @ 36.7¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.88
$-0.12
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$20.00May 18, 05:53 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.37May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$3.30May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$20.20May 17, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$10.15May 17, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?$10.17May 17, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$23.31May 17, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$20.60May 17, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$23.98May 17, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$48.87May 17, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before GTA VI?$19.49May 17, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$21.69May 17, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$18.57May 17, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$1.86May 17, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$1.86May 17, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$144.28May 17, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$1.86May 17, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$130.00May 17, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$2.04May 17, 13:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $53.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 21:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".