Probable-Spotlight
0x08e7bb819c3b8e9aaaadc97e8144f5aa6d48aa79
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$13.8K
Total PnL
$-350.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
16410 shares @ 62.9¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.5K
$-1.9K
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
6966 shares @ 49.7¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.4K
$1.9K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 95.1¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$23.62
$-0.02
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,900 January 12-18?
459 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-133.21
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?
385 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-230.84
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?
143 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$3.5KMar 18, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.1KMar 18, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?$327.94Mar 18, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$0.00Mar 18, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?$327.95Mar 6, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?$327.95Mar 6, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.5KFeb 11, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.5KFeb 11, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?$133.35Feb 6, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?$58.40Feb 6, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?$159.74Feb 5, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?$32.00Feb 5, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$641.02Feb 4, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown Saturday?$641.03Feb 4, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?$230.84Feb 3, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?$11.75Feb 2, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMAustralian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic$219.09Feb 2, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic$120.50Feb 1, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMAustralian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev$120.50Feb 1, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev$101.22Jan 29, 01:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $972.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 05:41 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 12:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".