Vigilant-Invoice
0x08f2578fd329b91161f8b6e348ff10b7c12737e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$212.45
Total PnL
$-415.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
180 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$180.00
$90.00
- YES
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?
499 shares @ 20.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.45
$-67.55
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
5137 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-23.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
4226 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
700 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 14?
568 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
487 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th?
436 shares @ 45.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 1?
417 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 2?
333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$90.00Mar 15, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic be acquired before 2027?$100.00Mar 1, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?$10.00Mar 1, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?$25.00Feb 28, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$5.00Feb 28, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$9.00Feb 28, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei tweet again by March 1?$10.00Feb 28, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei tweet again by March 14?$10.00Feb 28, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei tweet again by March 2?$10.00Feb 28, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th?$200.00Feb 28, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$48.25Feb 28, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$247.88Feb 28, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$30.07Feb 25, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$48.33Feb 25, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$10.00Feb 23, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$5.00Feb 23, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$15.00Feb 23, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$11.00Feb 23, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$6.00Feb 23, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peanut" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$5.00Feb 23, 17:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $31.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 21:12 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 16:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".