Afraid-Detention
0x08fbcd88e50302788502e63f36e9abf618a1e0b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$29.14
Total PnL
$-26.72
Realised
$-0.29
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?
5 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.97
$0.01
- YES
Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.77
$-0.23
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
14 shares @ 50.1¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.87
$-4.13
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
10 shares @ 38.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.55
$-1.25
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 38.6¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 33.0¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.25
$-0.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.23
$-0.97
- YES
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.05
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$2.25May 12, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arman Tsarukyan be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?$4.97May 12, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$4.02May 12, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$3.00May 12, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$3.80May 12, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$4.35May 12, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$1.00Apr 20, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.00Apr 18, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.00Apr 18, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$2.00Apr 18, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?$1.00Apr 12, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$9.09Apr 12, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$2.00Apr 12, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?$0.00Apr 12, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?$0.00Apr 12, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)$0.00Apr 12, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain participate in Eurovision 2026?$0.00Apr 12, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?$0.00Apr 12, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$0.00Apr 12, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?$0.00Apr 12, 19:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $2.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 10:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 08:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".