Willing-Rainy
0x09aef134fadeb10b2dfa766fb5b0ba2f5a23004e
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$851.91
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-2.42
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
4215 shares @ 5.1¢·now 6.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$267.64
$53.97
- HABS
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens
250 shares @ 41.4¢·now 48.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$121.24
$17.75
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
200 shares @ 39.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$104.00
$26.00
- YES
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?
667 shares @ 16.1¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$93.38
$-14.34
- YES
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
1010 shares @ 10.4¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$75.75
$-29.71
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
100 shares @ 35.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
1000 shares @ 3.5¢·now 2.6¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$26.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
200 shares @ 16.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3000 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$25.50
$-16.50
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.00
$2.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?$17.33May 17, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Canadiens (-1.5)$20.66May 17, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Canadiens (-1.5)$4.84May 17, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Canadiens (-1.5)$1.53May 17, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Canadiens (-1.5)$8.67May 17, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5$0.09May 17, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5$23.04May 17, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5$0.87May 17, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Canadiens (-1.5)$12.91May 17, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Canadiens (-1.5)$6.59May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5$40.00May 17, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5$19.00May 16, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.59May 16, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.13May 16, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.20May 16, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.20May 16, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.30May 16, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.04May 16, 03:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $4.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 21:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".