Dense-Civilization
0x09bb36b444503887dcd4ad3a9722a9432ae1f8b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
67
Open notional
$22.6K
Total PnL
$-6.6K
Realised
$-2.2K
Win rate
20%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- YES
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
19460 shares @ 46.8¢·now 56.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.1K
$1.9K
- NO
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
2955 shares @ 67.7¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.1K
$83.09
- YES
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
2239 shares @ 64.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.4K
$-56.23
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
3202 shares @ 71.5¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.4K
$-928.86
- YES
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
1817 shares @ 65.9¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.2K
$37.85
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1403 shares @ 59.3¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$848.97
$17.48
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
1499 shares @ 46.7¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$652.25
$-47.75
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
1000 shares @ 53.3¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$595.09
$61.65
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
1131 shares @ 39.8¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$537.03
$87.04
- YES
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
712 shares @ 55.8¢·now 55.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$395.02
$-2.44
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.17May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$170.55May 17, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$1.1KMay 17, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$469.78May 17, 18:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.27May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$917.87May 16, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$827.92May 16, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$879.44May 16, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$816.28May 16, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$803.22May 16, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$704.69May 16, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$741.38May 16, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$677.78May 16, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$1.0KMay 16, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$1.0KMay 16, 08:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.28May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$2.0KMay 15, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$2.2KMay 15, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$1.6KMay 15, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$3.1KMay 15, 21:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $690.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".