Definitive-Sensibility
0x0a38bb69880567094d108ec1e6a39613dc42f397
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$427.01
Total PnL
$-45.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
150 shares @ 85.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$110.69
$-16.49
- NO
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
98 shares @ 94.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$88.92
$-2.85
- NO
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
47 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$45.62
$0.13
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?
50 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$45.25
$0.75
- NO
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
25 shares @ 89.2¢·now 92.5¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$23.13
$0.81
- NO
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
20 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$19.99
$0.51
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
20 shares @ 91.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$19.59
$1.39
- NO
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
10 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$9.99
$0.14
- NO
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by May 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 95.9¢·now 96.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.60
$0.01
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
10 shares @ 94.6¢·now 94.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.48
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$9.46May 13, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?$6.73May 12, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?$8.20May 12, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?$1.87May 12, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?$9.00May 12, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$5.00May 10, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$20.00May 10, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$109.99May 10, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?$1.04May 9, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$6.80May 9, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Havrylivka by May 31, 2026?$9.59May 9, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?$44.50May 9, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$18.23May 9, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Areeq Chowdhury win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?$50.00May 8, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Peter Underwood win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?$50.00May 8, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$22.62May 5, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$34.71May 5, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$3.05May 5, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$4.86May 5, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$4.86May 5, 18:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $13.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 09:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 07:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".