Careless-Tenement
0x0afb53cacd2bd89819ed3e1ef519805f1a0c80f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$4.2K
Total PnL
$75.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
1558 shares @ 83.4¢·now 76.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$-116.04
- NO
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
897 shares @ 89.2¢·now 91.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$818.75
$18.75
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
678 shares @ 88.5¢·now 92.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$626.53
$26.53
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
633 shares @ 79.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$560.13
$60.13
- NO
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
353 shares @ 85.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$344.29
$44.29
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
342 shares @ 58.4¢·now 72.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$248.70
$48.70
- NO
GTA VI released before June 2026?
206 shares @ 96.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$205.26
$5.26
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
211 shares @ 71.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$136.27
$-13.73
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
104 shares @ 96.5¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$101.81
$1.81
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$106.47May 4, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$513.87May 4, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$411.84Apr 27, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI be acquired before 2027?$100.00Apr 9, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI be acquired before 2027?$100.00Apr 9, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI be acquired before 2027?$200.00Apr 9, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI be acquired before 2027?$100.00Apr 9, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$300.00Apr 7, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$300.00Apr 6, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI be acquired before 2027?$300.00Apr 6, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$100.00Apr 6, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$100.00Apr 6, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?$100.00Apr 6, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$500.00Apr 2, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?$140.61Apr 2, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$500.00Apr 1, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$10.5KApr 1, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$500.00Mar 31, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$100.00Mar 31, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$500.00Mar 31, 10:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $504.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 07:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 08:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".