Rude-Ale
0x0b219cf3d297991b58361dbebdbaa91e56b8deb6
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$146.3K
Total PnL
$-43.1K
Realised
$1.3K
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
88201 shares @ 84.7¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$82.5K
$7.7K
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
18671 shares @ 89.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$18.4K
$1.7K
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
12651 shares @ 87.7¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.4K
$-1.7K
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
9218 shares @ 77.5¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$8.3K
$1.2K
- NO
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
9843 shares @ 68.4¢·now 77.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$7.6K
$847.35
- NO
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
8416 shares @ 67.4¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.9K
$1.2K
- NO
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
5908 shares @ 73.1¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.6K
$1.3K
- NO
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
2659 shares @ 72.7¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.5K
$601.46
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
2500 shares @ 80.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.4K
$420.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
1298 shares @ 95.6¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.3K
$11.03
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?$82.21May 18, 03:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.25May 18, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$6.34May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?$137.86May 17, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$9.7KMay 17, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$28.3KMay 17, 01:03 UTC
- YIELD$3.32May 17, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$4.66May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?$33.57May 16, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$18.87May 16, 23:57 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$1000.00May 16, 23:56 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$1.8KMay 16, 23:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?$2.3KMay 16, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? $4.75May 16, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?$78.33May 16, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?$4.69May 16, 03:58 UTC
- YIELD$3.32May 16, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$5.02May 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?$31.33May 15, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? $47.50May 15, 03:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 01:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".