Intrepid-Circulation
0x0b2550e4a9b45e058d47ed8c2058f1bb4ce2439f
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
123
Open notional
$947.83
Total PnL
$-706.77
Realised
$156.04
Win rate
93%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 123- YES
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
426 shares @ 68.5¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$287.55
$-4.39
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
121 shares @ 36.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$84.54
$41.03
- YES
Will BW Industrial Holdings not IPO before June 2026?
80 shares @ 75.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$74.00
$14.00
- YES
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?
160 shares @ 33.2¢·now 35.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.03
$2.86
- NO
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?
70 shares @ 70.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$49.94
$1.05
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
155 shares @ 9.5¢·now 31.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$48.05
$33.32
- YES
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?
189 shares @ 12.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$35.91
$13.17
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
110 shares @ 13.3¢·now 29.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$31.87
$17.23
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
29 shares @ 38.0¢·now 82.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$23.55
$12.66
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
121 shares @ 23.3¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.94
$-8.19
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?$5.50May 8, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-08?$5.50May 8, 23:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?$10.00May 6, 22:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?$294.42May 6, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$14.68May 4, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$3.36May 4, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$10.90May 4, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.61May 4, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 3?$36.51May 3, 18:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Montedio Yamagata vs. Tochigi SC end in a draw?$9.91May 3, 09:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Montedio Yamagata win on 2026-05-03?$30.26May 3, 09:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Toulon win?$3.61May 2, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Watford FC win on 2026-05-02?$20.71May 2, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Coventry City FC win on 2026-05-02?$24.47May 2, 17:29 UTC
- CONVERSIONEuropean Rugby Champions Cup: Leinster vs Toulon$91.25May 2, 14:33 UTC
- MERGEWill Keaton Verhoeff be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?$4.00May 2, 14:31 UTC
- MERGEWill Leinster win?$294.78May 2, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leinster win?$54.19May 2, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leinster win?$54.19May 2, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leinster win?$54.19May 2, 14:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $26.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 07:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 23:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".