Formal-Recorder
0x0b498c2501f1c3a541f76218f083d48c92e7f2df
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$106.03
Total PnL
$-6.4K
Realised
$476.44
Win rate
29%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
1528 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$74.10
$-2.64
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
2776 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$31.93
$-4.04
- YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 14?
47717 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-198.69
- YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 15?
44727 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-170.63
- YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 16?
38700 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-216.14
- YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 17?
35772 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-133.50
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 5?
33042 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-98.23
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 3?
31995 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-171.24
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 2?
25061 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-107.21
- YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18?
23362 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-153.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuela become 51st state?$30.27May 18, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuela become 51st state?$7.49May 18, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$13.75May 17, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.38May 17, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$3.92May 17, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$2.96May 17, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$14.53May 17, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuela become 51st state?$38.98May 17, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?$0.02Jan 25, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?$2.34Jan 25, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$1.70Jan 25, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?$0.12Jan 25, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?$2.00Jan 25, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?$3.79Jan 25, 00:49 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro mugshot released by January 23?$2.66Jan 23, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro mugshot released by January 30?$3.68Jan 23, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother US strike on Venezuela by January 31?$11.08Jan 23, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by January 23?$2.12Jan 23, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by January 23?$0.05Jan 23, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by January 23?$0.03Jan 22, 23:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 20:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".