Polite-Developing
0x0b54ca6735551fea94f79f5acd014e7ad06676ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-18.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?
5328 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$719.30
$-26.85
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
1611 shares @ 26.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$410.80
$-8.05
- YES
Will South America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1754 shares @ 21.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$377.19
$8.77
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
214 shares @ 75.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$161.60
$1.07
- NO
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
348 shares @ 27.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$95.73
$1.84
- YES
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?
106 shares @ 39.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$43.51
$2.12
- NO
Huddle FDV above $10M one day after launch?
31 shares @ 54.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$19.53
$2.79
- YES
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
23 shares @ 54.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$12.68
$0.12
- NO
Will Justin Briner as Izuku Midoriya (My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (English) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
10 shares @ 57.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$5.87
$0.39
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
13 shares @ 52.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.86
$-1.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.76May 18, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.95May 18, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$1.35May 17, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$7.86May 17, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$85.36May 17, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$2.70May 17, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.45May 17, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$370.70May 17, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$56.48May 17, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$3.75May 17, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$3.50May 17, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$3.50May 17, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$156.78May 17, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?$765.41May 17, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$374.77May 17, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?$42.40May 17, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Briner as Izuku Midoriya (My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (English) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$5.61May 17, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYHuddle FDV above $10M one day after launch?$17.28May 17, 19:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $106.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 19:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".