Brown-Jaw
0x0be4c9e1beb1289d3602e4553424fcb3dfa2b548
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
55
Open notional
$3.4K
Total PnL
$-299.96
Realised
$335.21
Win rate
90%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
325 shares @ 96.7¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$320.29
$6.11
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
400 shares @ 85.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$318.00
$-22.00
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
300 shares @ 88.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$290.55
$26.55
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
450 shares @ 64.4¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$285.75
$-4.25
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$225.00
$-32.91
- NO
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
201 shares @ 75.9¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$157.00
$4.15
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
200 shares @ 50.5¢·now 73.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$147.79
$46.80
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
298 shares @ 74.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$126.81
$-94.02
- YES
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
150 shares @ 59.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$103.48
$14.98
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
400 shares @ 33.8¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$99.80
$-35.20
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.07May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWho will finish higher: Russell or Antonelli?$5.63May 16, 20:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$143.93May 14, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWho will finish higher: Russell or Antonelli?$1.13May 14, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$225.00May 14, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$42.34May 14, 11:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 11, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$47.26May 10, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$8.00May 10, 07:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 10, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$8.64May 9, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$97.41May 9, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 1.0%?$9.96May 9, 04:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 9, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $16.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 16:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".