Impassioned-Watch
0x0c0e270cf879583d6a0142fc817e05b768d0434e
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
97
Open notional
$671.9K
Total PnL
$307.5K
Realised
$271.0K
Win rate
89%
71 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 97- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
365516 shares @ 89.1¢·now 95.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$349.6K
$24.0K
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
112671 shares @ 88.7¢·now 94.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$105.9K
$6.0K
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
44424 shares @ 65.7¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$31.8K
$2.6K
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
32603 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$29.7K
$0.00
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
32891 shares @ 78.6¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$28.1K
$2.3K
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
32491 shares @ 54.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$18.7K
$1.1K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
14300 shares @ 89.1¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.7K
$920.51
- NO
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
10889 shares @ 92.6¢·now 95.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$10.4K
$316.71
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
10000 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.3K
$250.00
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
582888 shares @ 0.6¢·now 1.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.5K
$5.0K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.02May 18, 04:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.35May 18, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 04:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$37.78May 18, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 04:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$40.10May 18, 04:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 04:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 03:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$42.93May 18, 03:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$54.45May 18, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$36.32May 18, 03:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.00May 18, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 03:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.00May 18, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.00May 18, 03:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $58.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 01:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 71 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".