Immediate-Fright
0x0c520452596305b6a05c8ad9c82636330ac9f01f
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$4.3K
Total PnL
$661.16
Realised
$0.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
2261 shares @ 84.6¢·now 93.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.1K
$203.78
- NO
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
1981 shares @ 70.5¢·now 91.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2027$1.8K
$405.37
- NO
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
350 shares @ 78.7¢·now 94.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$329.96
$54.28
- YES
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
44 shares @ 15.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.93
$18.37
- YES
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
44 shares @ 78.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.68
$-21.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.86Apr 22, 16:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$0.00Apr 22, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$0.00Apr 22, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$0.24Mar 25, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.83Mar 22, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.83Mar 22, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.83Mar 22, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.83Mar 22, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.83Mar 22, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.83Mar 22, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.83Mar 22, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.83Mar 22, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.83Mar 22, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.83Mar 22, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.83Mar 22, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.83Mar 22, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.83Mar 22, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.83Mar 22, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.83Mar 22, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.83Mar 22, 15:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 22:18 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 16:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".