Inferior-Widow
0x0cad11457a4a513f0227fcac7fc8b049e41b5dd0
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$3.8K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-237.92
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
7675 shares @ 21.3¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.3K
$-372.72
- YES
NATO article 5 before 2027?
2398 shares @ 19.2¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$371.68
$-88.84
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
700 shares @ 39.9¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$318.49
$38.96
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4004 shares @ 10.7¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$298.33
$-129.74
- YES
New pandemic in 2026?
2100 shares @ 12.8¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$262.50
$-5.39
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
1100 shares @ 24.4¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$247.50
$-21.05
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
600 shares @ 56.1¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$236.99
$-99.71
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
500 shares @ 34.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$157.43
$-12.35
- YES
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
650 shares @ 23.8¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$126.81
$-28.28
- YES
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
500 shares @ 29.7¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$122.46
$-25.91
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill no country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$100.00May 18, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$80.55May 18, 03:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.18May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Cuba military clash in 2026?$28.56May 17, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Cuba military clash in 2026?$6.64May 17, 05:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.18May 17, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?$216.50May 16, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jurgen Klopp be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?$20.23May 16, 16:20 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?$11.50May 16, 11:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.18May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.24May 15, 16:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.17May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$29.75May 14, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$126.00May 14, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2026?$12.00May 14, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Man on Fire" be the top global Netflix show this week?$7.00May 14, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$25.94May 14, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.01May 14, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$95.00May 14, 03:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 14, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $54.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 03:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".