Warlike-Noun-Haircut
0x0d2635b6adad4c69406a6674fe920b45137d50b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$192.94
Total PnL
$-247.34
Realised
$6.31
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
202 shares @ 58.7¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$49.57
$-69.15
- NO
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?
50 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
87 shares @ 37.4¢·now 29.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.08
$-7.23
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
147 shares @ 36.1¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.74
$-30.31
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
150 shares @ 13.7¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.75
$-1.75
- YES
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
86 shares @ 23.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.22
$-2.58
- YES
Will Trump announce Kyle Diamantas as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?
25 shares @ 51.9¢·now 51.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.87
$-0.09
- YES
Will Trump announce Stephen Hahn as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?
25 shares @ 16.5¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$-3.13
- YES
Will Trump announce Brett Giroir as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?
25 shares @ 13.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$-2.29
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Kyle Diamantas as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?$3.96May 14, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Brett Giroir as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?$3.36May 14, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Stephen Hahn as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?$4.27May 14, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Kyle Diamantas as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?$9.25May 14, 03:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$6.03May 12, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$14.04May 12, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.78May 12, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$3.48May 12, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals$9.63May 11, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLIndian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals$0.04May 11, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLIndian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals$5.57May 11, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLIndian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals$4.00May 11, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals$3.97May 11, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLIndian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians$4.00May 10, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians$3.96May 10, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$2.74May 9, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$3.08May 9, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$6.48May 9, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$5.14May 9, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$3.80May 9, 17:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $10.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 03:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 03:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".