Shy-Carnation
0x0d3b1fbd8ed84e817d2c73a3c0622be2c74c12ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$61.95
Total PnL
$-21.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?
41 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$41.08
$-0.02
- NO
Will Heavenly Kimes be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?
11 shares @ 99.8¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$11.03
$-0.12
- NO
Will Joe Lester be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$9.84
$-0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on May 5?
15 shares @ 99.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-15.40
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C or below on May 7?
6 shares @ 99.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Lester be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?$9.84May 18, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Heavenly Kimes be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?$11.15May 18, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on May 19?$26.60May 18, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?$27.40May 17, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?$13.70May 17, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Is God Is" score at least 99 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$8.29May 17, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Is God Is" score at least 99 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$5.79May 17, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 11-17?$5.53May 17, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 4.5m?$28.17May 17, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 18?$10.81May 17, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?$28.79May 17, 16:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alfonso López Chau win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?$4.41May 17, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 11-17?$5.54May 17, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 18?$10.81May 17, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 4.5m?$7.05May 17, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Is God Is" score at least 99 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$14.10May 17, 10:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 17?$18.21May 17, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?$28.80May 17, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 4.5m?$21.10May 17, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on May 17?$27.89May 17, 06:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $13.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 18:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".