Exemplary-Tick
0x0d4147fea90bce769235ad3e00a4f146df7c246f
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$566.86
Total PnL
$-114.89
Realised
$2.19
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
337 shares @ 47.8¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2028$143.22
$-17.83
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
135 shares @ 74.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$106.09
$6.08
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
429 shares @ 23.1¢·now 19.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$83.57
$-15.42
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
102 shares @ 39.1¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$37.08
$-2.92
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
178 shares @ 16.8¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$29.66
$-0.34
- YES
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
77 shares @ 39.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$25.77
$-4.23
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
53 shares @ 38.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$21.84
$1.84
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
45 shares @ 44.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$21.14
$1.14
- YES
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
23 shares @ 43.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$17.67
$7.67
- YES
Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
74 shares @ 12.6¢·now 17.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2028$13.22
$3.96
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$18.57May 6, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$42.29May 6, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$20.15May 6, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$81.38May 6, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Maduro" during events with Brazilian president?$1.92May 6, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Cuba" during events with Brazilian president?$1.02May 6, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nobel" or "Prize" during events with Brazilian president?$1.03May 6, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?$1.03May 6, 11:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $17.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".