Lighthearted-Borrowing
0x0dc2ca151d1e58b19506e6fd6b202c940575297b
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-904.09
Realised
$80.76
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
1146 shares @ 86.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$108.87
- JACKSONVILLE STATE GAMECOCKS
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks
693 shares @ 84.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$693.00
$104.64
- MILWAUKEE ADMIRALS
AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids Griffins
429 shares @ 38.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$429.00
$265.55
- UNDER
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5
132 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$132.00
$48.84
- YES
Anduril IPO before 2027?
584 shares @ 17.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$78.84
$-20.44
- YES
Natural Disaster in 2026?
9 shares @ 32.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.21
$-0.67
- NO
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 17.9¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.78
$1.25
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.91
$0.03
- GRAND RAPIDS GRIFFINS
AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids Griffins
965 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-240.28
- UNDER
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 1.5
882 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-529.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?$985.56Apr 23, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLAnduril IPO before 2027?$22.33Apr 12, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?$329.44Apr 11, 23:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?$428.40Apr 11, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?$19.60Apr 11, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?$129.00Apr 11, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLAnduril IPO before 2027?$5.84Apr 11, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?$51.75Apr 11, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?$130.42Apr 11, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?$493.35Apr 11, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYAHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids Griffins$240.28Apr 11, 00:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.70Apr 9, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?$415.63Apr 9, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?$441.89Apr 9, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?$352.64Apr 9, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$352.00Apr 8, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYAHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids Griffins$163.45Apr 8, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnduril IPO before 2027?$70.55Apr 8, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnduril IPO before 2027?$95.37Apr 8, 01:55 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?$8.25Mar 31, 03:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $187.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 09:40 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 10:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".