Quarterly-Warrant
0x0e4e7db565ed1c78f87b94c364c8a703b8975bf4
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$6.9K
Total PnL
$16.09
Realised
$51.66
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
2491 shares @ 85.2¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$-103.76
- NO
EU dissolves before 2027?
1800 shares @ 95.2¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.7K
$21.89
- NO
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
300 shares @ 88.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$294.90
$30.90
- NO
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
351 shares @ 75.4¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$278.98
$14.45
- NO
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
300 shares @ 71.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$246.00
$33.00
- NO
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
221 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$204.43
$5.53
- NO
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
203 shares @ 98.3¢·now 96.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$196.85
$-3.15
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
200 shares @ 87.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$186.90
$12.90
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
200 shares @ 83.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$185.10
$19.10
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
200 shares @ 82.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$181.00
$17.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.13May 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 8, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$102.19May 7, 11:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?$7.95May 7, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Nigeria by December 31?$0.00May 7, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?$0.00May 7, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.00May 7, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.00May 7, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$0.00May 7, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?$0.00May 7, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$0.00May 7, 11:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $55.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".