Thorny-Petition
0x0e60aeae8941e058a8d916e39690d24c4003f190
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$41.07
Total PnL
$-18.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.41
$0.41
- NO
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$5.40
$0.20
- NO
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 96.9¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.23
$-0.00
- NO
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.17
$-0.05
- NO
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
3 shares @ 94.3¢·now 98.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.05
$0.14
- NO
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 97.7¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.90
$0.01
- NO
Will Intercontinental Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 96.2¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.84
$-0.06
- NO
Will USD/CAD hit 1.60 (High) in 2026?
3 shares @ 96.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.80
$-0.09
- YES
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 in May?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.37
$0.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 in May?$2.07May 15, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill San Marino be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.12May 14, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by April 30?$1.85May 11, 05:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?$1.92May 11, 05:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$6.80May 11, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?$4.22Apr 22, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?$2.30Apr 19, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?$4.23Apr 18, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?$3.06Apr 17, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?$5.16Apr 17, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election held by June 30, 2026?$2.89Apr 17, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?$2.90Apr 15, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Marino be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.00Apr 12, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?$2.18Apr 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?$5.20Apr 10, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$3.23Apr 8, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?$4.00Apr 8, 01:31 UTC
- TRADESELLFrench election called by June 30, 2026?$4.09Apr 6, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Intercontinental Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?$2.90Apr 6, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$6.10Apr 4, 08:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $184.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 03:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 03:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".