Crisp-Thumb
0x0f5c404d605f10b5105d376ee545ce0c935f91bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$3.4K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$204.67
Win rate
60%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will Trump name "Massie" in April?
1054 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.1K
$548.08
- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
666 shares @ 73.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$661.00
$174.82
- SRI LANKA
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka
779 shares @ 79.9¢·now 78.4¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$610.74
$-11.69
- YES
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
358 shares @ 58.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$343.68
$136.04
- PRAIRIE VIEW A&M PANTHERS
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers
606 shares @ 79.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$303.00
$-175.74
- YES
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
479 shares @ 30.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$241.90
$98.19
- NO
Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?
128 shares @ 61.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$104.31
$26.23
- NO
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
64 shares @ 77.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.60
$0.32
- NO
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
338 shares @ 42.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$13.52
$-128.44
- YES
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
34 shares @ 53.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.58
$-5.44
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$1.20Apr 27, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump name "Massie" in April?$505.92Apr 24, 03:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?$835.11Apr 21, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$32.48Apr 21, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$1.80Apr 21, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$8.40Apr 21, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$130.20Apr 21, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$2.10Apr 12, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$11.76Apr 12, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$1.65Apr 12, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$9.24Apr 12, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?$361.92Apr 12, 01:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$165.98Apr 12, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$79.36Apr 11, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$16.80Apr 11, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?$71.28Apr 11, 06:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?$127.38Apr 11, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?$267.08Apr 11, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?$349.44Apr 11, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLNYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?$69.92Apr 10, 00:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $210.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 18:21 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 10:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".