Austere-Nestling
0x0f7a66e2a445431787deeb24ee4483b80fccd37e
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
107
Open notional
$414.10
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$891.99
Win rate
91%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 107- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
500 shares @ 5.5¢·now 70.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$349.75
$322.39
- YES
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
2000 shares @ 10.8¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$49.00
$-166.71
- YES
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?
211 shares @ 5.6¢·now 6.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.28
$1.37
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
90 shares @ 26.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.07
$-21.33
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 14?
21000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
11680 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-112.16
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
10800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.80
- YES
Will Billie Eilish be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
8234 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.56
- YES
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?
5900 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-89.90
- YES
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in less than 1 hour?
5480 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-139.99
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.52Apr 30, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$272.00Apr 29, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$48.75Apr 29, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$131.19Apr 29, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$195.80Apr 29, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$36.39Apr 29, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$17.13Apr 12, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?$18.00Apr 12, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$7.99Apr 6, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?$18.00Apr 6, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5$21.00Apr 5, 02:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?$0.00Mar 29, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$0.00Mar 29, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$0.00Mar 29, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$0.00Mar 29, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?$24.00Mar 29, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$100.00Mar 18, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?$1.04Mar 6, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?$0.54Mar 5, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?$5.35Mar 5, 06:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $24.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 17:52 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 06:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".