Harmonious-Alpenhorn
0x0fb6443b4a23c990f0979357833298fc249d5ea0
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$209.68
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-219.34
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?
415 shares @ 31.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$157.70
$29.05
- NO
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?
47 shares @ 84.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$47.00
$7.43
- NO
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.98
$2.19
- EVANSVILLE ACES
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces
1883 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-753.20
- NO
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?
1326 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-331.50
- NO
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 300k?
714 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-135.66
- YES
Will Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?
216 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-54.00
- NO
Will "Oscar" or "Oscars" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)
101 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-62.62
- YES
Will "The Housemaid" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?
97 shares @ 45.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-43.94
- YES
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?
57 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?$364.72Apr 27, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?$181.42Apr 27, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?$128.65Apr 24, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$163.80Apr 21, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$163.80Apr 14, 01:38 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by April 15, 2026?$83.60Apr 12, 00:51 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by April 15, 2026?$17.60Apr 11, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Shadow Secretary" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$62.05Apr 11, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by April 15, 2026?$96.36Apr 10, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLRevolut IPO before 2027?$97.30Apr 9, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Shadow Secretary" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$87.47Apr 8, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?$6.00Apr 8, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?$139.25Apr 8, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYRevolut IPO before 2027?$83.40Apr 8, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?$45.00Apr 8, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMEast Texas A&M Lions vs. Lamar Cardinals$271.00Apr 8, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?$36.00Mar 30, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 300k?$135.66Mar 29, 23:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kanye West have a #1 hit in April?$3.08Mar 26, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?$168.48Mar 25, 17:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $172.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 05:14 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".