Weak-Sight
0x10045e96df1e5011c32219e3c4b4faa937c658ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$160.67
Total PnL
$-26.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
67 shares @ 30.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$56.33
$36.33
- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
106 shares @ 33.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.98
$-9.02
- YES
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?
26 shares @ 75.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.80
$0.00
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
14 shares @ 72.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.28
$3.28
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
231 shares @ 17.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.73
$-26.62
- YES
Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.78
$-0.22
- YES
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
107 shares @ 15.8¢·now 8.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.58
$-8.42
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- YES
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$4.67
$-0.33
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.70
$-2.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?$10.13May 17, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$5.00May 17, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?$5.15May 17, 17:57 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$22.86May 16, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$1.00May 6, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$10.00May 6, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?$10.11May 6, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$20.00May 6, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$5.00May 6, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$35.94May 4, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$17.57May 1, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.49May 1, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$36.16May 1, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$14.50May 1, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 1, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?$0.00May 1, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$14.71May 1, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$27.06May 1, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$31.33May 1, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$50.00May 1, 15:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $18.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 10:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 18:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".