Spiteful-Yarn
0x108807360cccbe07e85047bda011b3187554b813
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$332.75
Total PnL
$26.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?
145 shares @ 24.1¢·now 45.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$65.09
$30.22
- NO
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
28 shares @ 62.2¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.50
$4.99
- NO
Christopher Luxon out by September 30?
25 shares @ 54.4¢·now 69.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$17.15
$3.63
- YES
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?
56 shares @ 17.6¢·now 29.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$16.24
$6.37
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 52.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.25
$-10.75
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
50 shares @ 28.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$13.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
51 shares @ 23.5¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$12.39
$0.51
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
110 shares @ 4.3¢·now 11.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$12.12
$7.38
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 44.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.75
$-10.25
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
131 shares @ 0.9¢·now 8.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$11.75
$10.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$5.50May 18, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?$0.62May 18, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?$6.44May 18, 07:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$11.20May 17, 02:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$5.46May 16, 05:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$4.50May 15, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$2.84May 15, 11:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand First Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?$0.12May 10, 05:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand First Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?$0.10May 9, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand First Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?$0.40May 9, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?$40.46May 9, 16:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $4.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 13:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".