Fancy-Doughnut
0x1167928d748801b06b3a025e1a5359cff598d1cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$894.73
Total PnL
$116.54
Realised
$-9.20
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?
1376 shares @ 14.6¢·now 25.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$343.90
$142.63
- YES
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
387 shares @ 34.9¢·now 55.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$214.78
$79.51
- YES
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
79 shares @ 74.4¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$50.30
$-8.62
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
100 shares @ 33.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$43.50
$10.50
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
100 shares @ 46.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$41.50
$-4.50
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
60 shares @ 26.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$36.90
$21.30
- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
340 shares @ 9.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$35.70
$5.10
- YES
Will AKEL win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?
100 shares @ 29.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$17.00
$-12.00
- NO
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?
21 shares @ 18.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$15.28
$11.46
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
74 shares @ 68.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.17
$-35.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?$1.97May 11, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?$7.38May 11, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$8.81May 11, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?$2.98May 11, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$3.19May 9, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?$3.19May 8, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jimmy Gomez advance from the CA-34 primary election?$3.35May 8, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$4.65May 8, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$0.33May 8, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$19.34May 8, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$21.42May 8, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$0.75May 8, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$13.65May 8, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Effie Phillips-Staley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?$8.64May 8, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$3.33May 8, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.88May 4, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$7.23May 4, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jamie Zahlaway Belsito be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?$0.15May 4, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$20.00May 4, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?$1.93Apr 29, 23:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $9.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 21:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 18:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".