Gullible-Context
0x118418e8af3a8441ea5e0268ad4ae8b6cb761b67
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$3.8K
Total PnL
$-3.9K
Realised
$2.86
Win rate
33%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
933 shares @ 73.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$662.43
$-18.66
- OVER
Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5
650 shares @ 54.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$650.00
$298.35
- PORTSMOUTH FC
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)
639 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$639.00
$434.52
- YES
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
1323 shares @ 36.4¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$443.20
$-38.79
- NO
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
437 shares @ 81.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$380.19
$26.22
- SOUTHERN MISS GOLDEN EAGLES
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers
505 shares @ 22.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$252.50
$141.40
- JACKSONVILLE STATE GAMECOCKS
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks
245 shares @ 89.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$245.00
$24.75
- NO
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during April press conference?
214 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$214.00
$44.94
- YES
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
160 shares @ 74.2¢·now 65.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$104.56
$-14.16
- EASTERN ILLINOIS PANTHERS
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers
64 shares @ 68.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$64.00
$19.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5$203.87Apr 23, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLT20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Most Sixes Afghanistan Winner$6.29Apr 21, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLT20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Most Sixes Afghanistan Winner$12.21Apr 21, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$69.08Apr 21, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$66.44Apr 21, 02:57 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$59.84Apr 21, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$206.80Apr 21, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$587.25Apr 13, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$353.97Apr 13, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Most Sixes Afghanistan Winner$756.06Apr 13, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$640.64Apr 13, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$289.80Apr 13, 09:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$13.34Apr 13, 04:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$9.89Apr 13, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "National Security" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$244.00Apr 12, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "National Security" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$56.00Apr 12, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?$115.40Apr 12, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?$100.20Apr 12, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during April press conference?$325.44Apr 12, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during April press conference?$205.20Apr 12, 15:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $217.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 17:16 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 12:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".