Monstrous-Underpants
0x11e829d2a19e7ade935861fb043715766a015b74
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$9.9K
Total PnL
$-5.9K
Realised
$-3.90
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
7617 shares @ 90.8¢·now 35.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.7K
$-4.2K
- NO
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?
2716 shares @ 89.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.7K
$238.52
- NO
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
1893 shares @ 72.5¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.7K
$313.21
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
5783 shares @ 64.9¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$-2.6K
- NO
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?
682 shares @ 89.7¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$667.68
$56.12
- NO
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
571 shares @ 67.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$545.75
$162.58
- NO
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
478 shares @ 83.7¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$451.27
$51.45
- NO
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
23 shares @ 73.8¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.84
$-4.22
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$221.29Apr 29, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMVenezuela coup attempt by March 31?$392.25Apr 29, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces in Venezuela again by March 31, 2026?$405.43Apr 29, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?$1.0KApr 29, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$3.0KApr 29, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMNipah virus in US by March 31?$5.2KApr 29, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMUS strike on Colombia by March 31?$5.6KApr 29, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$8.4KApr 29, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMVenezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?$9.7KApr 29, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMAnother US strike on Venezuela by March 31?$17.1KApr 29, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by March 31?$476.00Apr 2, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?$399.82Mar 24, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela again by March 31, 2026?$397.18Mar 24, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Colombia by March 31?$380.90Mar 24, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYVenezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?$1.6KMar 24, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.6KMar 24, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$922.97Mar 24, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?$4.09Mar 24, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNipah virus in US by March 31?$278.32Mar 24, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNipah virus in US by March 31?$513.09Mar 24, 21:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $378.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 00:54 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 15:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".