Round-Resolution
0x11fcbba836d927c5fe6e6a6a64c9c0461e33dc48
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$340.6K
Total PnL
$10.4K
Realised
$8.9K
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
71005 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$64.3K
$1.8K
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
58984 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.2K
$-884.76
- NO
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
47770 shares @ 87.2¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.0K
$360.42
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
40079 shares @ 93.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.1K
$-460.86
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
46161 shares @ 68.3¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.6K
$3.1K
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
27940 shares @ 92.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.0K
$-698.51
- NO
NATO article 5 before 2027?
22316 shares @ 85.7¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.9K
$-270.71
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
22494 shares @ 84.1¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.7K
$-1.3K
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
17304 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.2K
$60.56
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
10000 shares @ 85.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.4K
$-50.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$12.48May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$12.48May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$12.47May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$12.47May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$12.47May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$12.47May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$12.47May 12, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$5.35May 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$24.8KMay 11, 06:54 UTC
- YIELD$12.48May 11, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$11.53May 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$1.01May 10, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$196.95May 10, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$105.30May 10, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$162.50May 10, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$250.25May 10, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$384.80May 10, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$592.15May 10, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$871.00May 10, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$1.3KMay 10, 18:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 18:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".