Gregarious-Wetland
0x1212bb8cc91ba3a91f169456f5beb779e7e892d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$386.46
Total PnL
$118.56
Realised
$28.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
162 shares @ 79.1¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$126.96
$-1.04
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
114 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$113.64
$63.64
- NO
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0%?
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 86.6¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$43.27
$18.27
- NO
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
50 shares @ 75.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$36.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
5001 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$32.51
$-2.46
- YES
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$19.50
$13.50
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
34 shares @ 42.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.59
$-0.50
- NO
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 29, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".