Admirable-Samurai
0x1229233bad2fd7462955c6383448904b5432df38
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
70
Open notional
$43.5K
Total PnL
$8.8K
Realised
$2.2K
Win rate
84%
38 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- YES
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
275000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 2.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$6.7K
$5.6K
- NO
Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?
3675 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.6K
$52.92
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
8000 shares @ 39.8¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$3.3K
$135.57
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
4532 shares @ 63.0¢·now 68.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.1K
$241.68
- NO
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?
2966 shares @ 96.5¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.9K
$34.05
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6012 shares @ 38.3¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.7K
$370.19
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?
2000 shares @ 87.6¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.8K
$46.97
- NO
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?
1726 shares @ 95.8¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.7K
$52.70
- NO
Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?
1515 shares @ 97.4¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.5K
$24.80
- NO
Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?
1258 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$18.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.01May 18, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?$28.77May 18, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?$9.88May 18, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYClaudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?$9.61May 18, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.01May 18, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYClaudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?$39.38May 18, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.01May 18, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.00May 18, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.00May 18, 01:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$506.67May 18, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.00May 18, 01:08 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.37May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?$81.92May 18, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.60May 18, 00:08 UTC
- REWARD$6.32May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$42.50May 17, 23:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?$51.64May 17, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?$75.86May 17, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?$36.92May 17, 23:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $43.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 17:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 38 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".