Motionless-Commonsense
0x122cdd9db64fd8dc3ebab813218e3effe21f821f
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$486.3K
Total PnL
$-600.41
Realised
$-331.48
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
475000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$386.4K
$148.9K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
475000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$88.6K
$-148.9K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
6841 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.8K
$67.15
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
5000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.0K
$1.5K
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
2579 shares @ 50.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$528.71
$-760.83
- YES
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?
187 shares @ 25.5¢·now 20.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$37.40
$-10.28
- YES
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
256 shares @ 9.6¢·now 4.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.11
$-13.43
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
1348 shares @ 76.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- YIELD$52.55May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$52.55May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$114.28May 16, 01:10 UTC
- YIELD$52.55May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$52.55May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$52.55May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$52.55May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$52.54May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$52.55May 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$11.03May 10, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$59.09May 10, 01:15 UTC
- YIELD$52.54May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$42.51May 9, 00:11 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$100.0KMay 8, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$5.3KMay 8, 21:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$70.78May 8, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$76.19May 8, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$7.1KMay 8, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$6.54May 8, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.4KMay 8, 20:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.5K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 16:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".