Polite-Teen
0x1232e5b39f0fe5ace85c1ab9d84aaf1a22776158
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$54.01
Total PnL
$-261.59
Realised
$-16.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by June 30?
101 shares @ 24.8¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.10
$-12.90
- YES
Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?
130 shares @ 25.3¢·now 6.1¢·exp May 22, 2026$7.96
$-25.08
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
14100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.05
$-7.05
- YES
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
543 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$4.07
$-24.08
- NO
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
7333 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.67
$-4.33
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
269 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.42
$-11.54
- NO
Trump meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.33
$-2.67
- YES
Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?
21 shares @ 73.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$2.26
$-12.74
- NO
Will JUUL relaunch Fruit Medley flavor by 2027?
3 shares @ 95.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.56
$-1.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$7.00May 18, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?$0.97May 18, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?$0.35May 18, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.78May 18, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.76May 18, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.88May 18, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.79May 18, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.79May 18, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.79May 18, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.90May 18, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$6.75May 18, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$1.05May 18, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$1.04May 18, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.04May 18, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.03May 18, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLXi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?$5.97May 18, 01:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$2.05May 18, 01:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in May?$1.23May 18, 01:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the White House Press Secretary say "Congratulations" during the next White House Press Briefing?$0.44May 18, 01:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?$1.25May 18, 01:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 11:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".