Sharp-Sled
0x1288c9c2a6ab6d545fa246684631822131e4dac9
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$76.60
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
200 shares @ 13.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.00
$3.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
400 shares @ 25.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$26.00
$-74.00
- YES
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?
400 shares @ 9.0¢·now 5.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.60
$-14.40
- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?
1605 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-287.38
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $200 before 2026??
1294 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-99.90
- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 31?
1119 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-56.13
- YES
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
940 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-103.80
- YES
Will NVIDIA reach $208 in January?
670 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-221.10
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of January?
300 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-96.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
200 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of January?$5.00Jan 23, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of January?$1.00Jan 23, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of January?$26.00Jan 23, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of January?$8.13Jan 2, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of January?$3.92Jan 1, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of January?$3.92Jan 1, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of January?$11.23Jan 1, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA reach $208 in January?$89.10Jan 1, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$88.00Jan 1, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of January?$41.60Jan 1, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of January?$54.40Jan 1, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA reach $208 in January?$24.75Jan 1, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA reach $208 in January?$8.25Jan 1, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA reach $208 in January?$99.00Jan 1, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be over 5.0%?$0.21Jan 1, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be over 5.0%?$1.18Jan 1, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $190–195 in 2025?$7.00Dec 31, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $190–195 in 2025?$23.00Dec 31, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $190–195 in 2025?$3.33Dec 31, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $190–195 in 2025?$16.66Dec 31, 14:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $22.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 26, 12:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 23, 21:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".