Alive-Lamp
0x128ae3267d0a755861b230af1cdae70a46c4fd6f
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$23.39
Total PnL
$2.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
10 shares @ 87.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$10.00
$1.24
- NO
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
5 shares @ 97.6¢·now 98.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.04
$0.04
- NO
Over $160B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 21.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.29
$1.29
- YES
Over $140B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.11
$0.11
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
1 shares @ 96.5¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
China coup attempt before 2027?
1 shares @ 96.3¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Over $160B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.94
$-0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$8.76Jan 16, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $160B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?$3.00Jan 10, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $160B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?$1.00Jan 10, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $140B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?$1.00Jan 10, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$1.00Jan 10, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina coup attempt before 2027?$1.00Jan 10, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping divorce before 2027?$5.00Jan 10, 15:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $2.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 15:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 15:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".