Ornery-Fail
0x128b01c68900a23798d151b7f56942d9f6fb7c4f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$3.6K
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
1054 shares @ 98.2¢·now 88.9¢·exp May 17, 2026$937.14
$-97.79
- YES
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?
3848 shares @ 24.8¢·now 24.2¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$931.20
$-23.23
- NO
Will Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between -0.3% and -0.1%?
509 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$478.47
$5.07
- YES
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
504 shares @ 95.8¢·now 94.8¢·exp May 17, 2026$478.31
$-4.61
- NO
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
300 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$299.85
$4.20
- NO
Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be less than 0.7%?
180 shares @ 97.1¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 29, 2026$175.11
$0.74
- NO
Will Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.2%?
138 shares @ 90.6¢·now 97.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$133.60
$8.76
- NO
Will Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than or equal to -0.4%?
132 shares @ 94.5¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 19, 2026$131.16
$6.10
- NO
Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be at least 2.7%?
59 shares @ 97.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp May 29, 2026$57.08
$-0.16
- NO
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?
2101 shares @ 97.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$9.85May 18, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$9.84May 18, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$492.87May 18, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$98.20May 18, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$98.57May 18, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$98.57May 18, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$2.19May 18, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$93.62May 18, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$98.57May 18, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$5.26May 18, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$16.79May 18, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$48.95May 18, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$98.57May 18, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$19.66May 18, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$4.73May 18, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$44.23May 18, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$1.53May 18, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$46.16May 18, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$9.67May 18, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$38.63May 18, 03:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $57.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 14:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".