Astonishing-Merit
0x12ca6445099583c0e6a1b6b007784845436ebd2d
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$7.43
Total PnL
$-5.31
Realised
$0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
2 shares @ 96.6¢·now 97.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.76
$0.01
- NO
Will Fermín López be included in Spain's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.21
$-0.79
- NO
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Vinícius Júnior record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Ferran Torres be included in Spain's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.73
$-0.28
- NO
Will Fermín López lead LaLiga in assists for the 2025-26 season?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.54
$-0.46
- NO
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.36
$-0.64
- YES
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-02?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-04?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Fermín López be included in Spain's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$2.00May 18, 12:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Partido Popular (PP) win 62 or more seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$1.09May 18, 03:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 33 or more seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$2.15May 18, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?$1.75May 17, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud$1.73May 17, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud$1.70May 17, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?$1.72May 17, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?$1.70May 16, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?$1.08May 16, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ferran Torres be included in Spain's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$1.00May 14, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$1.23May 14, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?$1.00May 13, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers $1.04May 12, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain snap election called by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 10, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$1.04May 10, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$1.00May 8, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?$1.01May 8, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinícius Júnior record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?$1.00May 7, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?$1.27May 6, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?$1.01May 6, 19:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 18:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 12:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".