0x1301e16c030c2414987afcd4048ca3be9a4f2f0a
0x1301e16c030c2414987afcd4048ca3be9a4f2f0a
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$16.62
Total PnL
$-2.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Gary Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
36 shares @ 2.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.95
$1.24
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.27
$0.27
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.17
$0.17
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Nickolas Bonds be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Idaho?
1 shares @ 94.4¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
12 shares @ 8.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$1.02
$0.06
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.90
$-0.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$0.00May 18, 17:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$5.00May 18, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$5.00May 18, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$5.00May 18, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$10.00May 18, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$12.45May 18, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$3.50May 18, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$4.79May 18, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$3.62May 18, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$4.95May 18, 13:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$3.94May 18, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$3.55May 18, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$4.15May 18, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$3.82May 18, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$9.90May 18, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$0.90May 18, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?$1.03May 18, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$10.00May 18, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$9.11May 18, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$3.74May 18, 02:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $5.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 10:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 17:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".