Third-Electricity
0x14016dcf3f69f626f92f15a33a167961861c2bc2
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$150.16
Total PnL
$-111.53
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
2101 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$100.84
$-4.16
- YES
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
100 shares @ 50.2¢·now 49.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$49.32
$-0.68
- YES
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
231 shares @ 35.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-81.69
- NO
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
93 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$51.00May 5, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$100.00Apr 5, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$148.08Apr 5, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$92.00Mar 31, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$25.00Mar 31, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?$95.24Mar 25, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?$20.00Mar 19, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$72.00Mar 14, 12:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.30Mar 13, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Mar 13, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.00Mar 4, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$12.39Jan 19, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$10.00Nov 7, 11:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $45.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 11:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 09:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".