0x1416c5f1b633822f3ecf9588313f0f59c007d1aa
0x1416c5f1b633822f3ecf9588313f0f59c007d1aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$215.13
Total PnL
$15.33
Realised
$-0.49
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
152 shares @ 34.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$152.31
$99.08
- NO
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
38 shares @ 67.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$25.56
$0.36
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
66 shares @ 15.9¢·now 22.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$14.95
$4.39
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
33 shares @ 44.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$11.12
$-3.48
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?
94 shares @ 8.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.78
$3.28
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
2 shares @ 20.5¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.41
$-0.02
- YES
Weed rescheduled by March 31?
511 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.93
- YES
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
250 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
222 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- NO
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
207 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-16.53
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 1, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?$0.37Apr 1, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?$0.69Mar 31, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?$0.40Mar 31, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?$0.09Mar 30, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?$0.09Mar 30, 18:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $5.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 01:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".