Vigorous-Maize
0x146c2b7f5a8eac99bae9d98c5aee60a6fda3f5fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
146
Open notional
$137.16
Total PnL
$-3.14
Realised
$-0.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 146- YES
Will George Pickens play for Atlanta Falcons in 2026-27?
50 shares @ 1.9¢·now 49.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$24.77
$23.82
- YES
Will George Pickens play for New Orleans Saints in 2026-27?
20 shares @ 1.0¢·now 48.1¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$9.63
$9.43
- YES
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 4.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.90
$2.90
- YES
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.59
$2.59
- YES
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Cory Sandhagen next?
10 shares @ 1.2¢·now 32.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.27
$3.15
- YES
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
23 shares @ 8.6¢·now 13.1¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$3.04
$1.03
- YES
Will Dustin Pedroia be the next Red Sox manager?
111 shares @ 1.7¢·now 2.6¢·exp Feb 1, 2027$2.88
$1.00
- YES
Will Brandon Hyde be the next Red Sox manager?
111 shares @ 1.4¢·now 2.6¢·exp Feb 1, 2027$2.88
$1.33
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce Vince Micone as the next United States Labor Secretary
48 shares @ 1.1¢·now 5.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.72
$2.20
- YES
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.50
$0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have less than 100 launches in 2026?$1.04May 11, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elena Rybakina win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?$0.45May 11, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shavkat Rakhmonov be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$0.21May 11, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Hernandez be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$1.03May 11, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$0.23May 11, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$2.06May 11, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$2.06May 11, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Merab Dvalishvili fight Ricky Simón next?$1.03May 11, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$1.05May 11, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike 13 countries in 2026?$1.00May 8, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026?$1.00May 8, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$1.05May 8, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31?$0.45May 8, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31?$2.10May 8, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Evan Pettus be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?$0.23May 7, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?$2.00May 7, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?$2.08May 7, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Rodriguez be the next Red Sox manager?$1.60May 7, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julian Nagelsmann be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?$1.69May 7, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?$2.07May 7, 06:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 07:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 08:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".