0x147ee44cf81c5f4fcff345d77b9b2e20d03359da
0x147ee44cf81c5f4fcff345d77b9b2e20d03359da
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
81
Open notional
$375.70
Total PnL
$-40.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- YES
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
89 shares @ 84.7¢·now 47.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$41.97
$-33.26
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
39 shares @ 69.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$30.82
$3.73
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
48 shares @ 42.0¢·now 63.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$30.36
$10.36
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
21 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
19 shares @ 80.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.22
$1.22
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
11 shares @ 45.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.61
$5.61
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
12 shares @ 73.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.44
$1.42
- YES
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
667 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.67
$-0.33
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
9 shares @ 63.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.94
$3.09
- YES
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
7 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$6.62
$1.72
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$5.21May 17, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$12.20May 17, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$14.18May 17, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$15.81May 17, 11:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.39May 16, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$0.16May 16, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win Eurovision 2026?$0.07May 16, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$0.01May 16, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$0.37May 16, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$14.24May 16, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$5.39May 16, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$2.33May 16, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.24May 16, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.24May 16, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.24May 16, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Czechia win Eurovision 2026?$0.10May 16, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$0.40May 16, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$2.75May 16, 21:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $2.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".