Vapid-Knuckle
0x14a320347a396ec7d27360e16cd5b01e1296095b
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$71.76
Total PnL
$-14.78
Realised
$4.29
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?
40 shares @ 93.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$40.00
$2.60
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
34 shares @ 37.1¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.94
$3.23
- NO
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
12 shares @ 84.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.83
$0.83
- NO
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$4.99
$0.29
- NO
Will Clavicular be unbanned from Kick by March 31?
245 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-7.22
- NO
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?
20 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$4.80May 18, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$6.71May 18, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$4.50May 14, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$10.06May 12, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$5.13May 11, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before GTA VI?$28.05May 11, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before GTA VI?$30.15May 11, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$10.99May 11, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?$30.00May 11, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump or Melania say "Chicago" at Chicago Opening Night?$0.00Apr 3, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Sudan" in March?$6.35Apr 1, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?$20.78Apr 1, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?$2.85Apr 1, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump or Melania say "Chicago" at Chicago Opening Night?$3.25Mar 31, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBucharest Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Jay Clarke$1.05Mar 31, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBucharest Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Jay Clarke$1.00Mar 31, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?$18.80Mar 31, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 82 and 83 million views on week 1?$0.00Mar 30, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$30.00Mar 30, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?$0.75Mar 28, 15:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $7.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 12:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".