Same-Similarity
0x14be5ec367f32d975624e5fd95fabe60d9954498
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$14.51
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$1.82
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
400 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.40
$-24.60
- YES
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
313 shares @ 16.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.28
$-46.72
- YES
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
424 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.33
$-11.67
- YES
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.29
$-0.71
- YES
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
288 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$-0.99
- YES
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between -0.4% and 0.0%?
388 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$0.97
$-19.03
- YES
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between -0.9% and -0.5%?
308 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$0.77
$-27.41
- YES
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be less than -1.0%?
305 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$0.76
$-27.77
- YES
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
200 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.70
$-2.30
- YES
Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?
1222 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Apr 24, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$250.00Apr 23, 04:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$134.43Apr 23, 04:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Apr 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Apr 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Apr 21, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$14.05Apr 20, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$191.76Apr 20, 03:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Apr 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Apr 19, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$84.26Apr 18, 01:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$84.21Apr 18, 01:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Apr 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$90.00Apr 17, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$89.94Apr 17, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$69.00Apr 17, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$22.00Apr 17, 15:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?$26.46Apr 17, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?$64.55Apr 17, 15:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Apr 17, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $78.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 22:34 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".