Sweet-Fact
0x15056942b61b0ef65bf6ac861655dfd506eb95f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$77.55
Total PnL
$58.97
Realised
$25.06
Win rate
73%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
333 shares @ 1.5¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$24.81
$19.82
- YES
Will Tom Cotton be the next Senate Majority Leader?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 13.6¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$13.60
$12.60
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
250 shares @ 1.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.88
$4.38
- YES
Will Lindsey Graham be the next Senate Majority Leader?
296 shares @ 1.0¢·now 2.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$5.92
$2.96
- NO
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.09
$2.09
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
150 shares @ 1.3¢·now 3.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.80
$2.80
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
10 shares @ 15.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.25
$1.70
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?
130 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.25
$0.26
- YES
Will Patty Murray be the next Senate Majority Leader?
138 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$2.68
$1.31
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 39.3¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.81
$-0.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?$0.11May 18, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?$2.50May 15, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?$1.71May 15, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?$0.79May 15, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?$1.65May 15, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?$0.75May 15, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?$0.77May 15, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?$0.80May 15, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?$0.55May 15, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?$0.23May 15, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?$1.00May 15, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?$1.74May 15, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.00May 14, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?$0.02May 13, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?$0.05May 10, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?$0.26May 9, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?$2.73May 8, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lindsey Graham be the next Senate Majority Leader?$0.21May 7, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lindsey Graham be the next Senate Majority Leader?$0.07May 7, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lindsey Graham be the next Senate Majority Leader?$0.10May 7, 20:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 20:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".