Orderly-Outback
0x1510507ba86812e5998ddb8b45068241847f2402
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$20.53
Total PnL
$-65.04
Realised
$0.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
104 shares @ 17.6¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.96
$0.63
- KRISTIANSUND BK
Spread: Kristiansund BK (-2.5)
29 shares @ 25.3¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.57
$-5.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on April 30?
81 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
44 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-7.83
- NO
Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
30 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-8.10
- NO
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
28 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
17 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 90°F or higher on May 9?
15 shares @ 73.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-11.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 9?
15 shares @ 69.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 2?
10 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSpread: SK Brann (-2.5)$0.16May 18, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Kristiansund BK (-2.5)$1.53May 18, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Kristiansund BK (-2.5)$1.28May 18, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Kristiansund BK (-2.5)$1.52May 18, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Kristiansund BK (-2.5)$1.54May 18, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Kristiansund BK (-2.5)$1.54May 18, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: SK Brann (-2.5)$0.73May 18, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 15?$19.81May 18, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 15?$0.45May 18, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 15?$3.85May 18, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 18?$1.07May 18, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 18?$1.00May 18, 01:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 18?$1.50May 17, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 18?$1.49May 17, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 18?$1.22May 17, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 18?$0.28May 17, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 18?$0.18May 17, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 18?$4.87May 17, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 17?$1.65May 17, 09:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 18:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".