Simplistic-Clockwork
0x151de146b5825d13381ea7ebfac2af41c0e84497
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$240.13
Win rate
100%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1500 shares @ 73.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$-67.50
- NO
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?
900 shares @ 61.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$517.50
$-31.50
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
700 shares @ 53.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$322.00
$-49.00
- NO
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
200 shares @ 63.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$185.00
$59.00
- NO
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
300 shares @ 63.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$142.50
$-46.50
- NO
Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?
180 shares @ 77.7¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$131.40
$-8.40
- NO
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?
471 shares @ 35.2¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$108.37
$-57.69
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?
300 shares @ 34.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$76.50
$-25.50
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
700 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$50.40
$-12.60
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
400 shares @ 28.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$48.00
$-64.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.01May 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLHyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?$127.89May 13, 07:34 UTC
- REWARD$1.12May 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLHyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?$74.55May 12, 14:35 UTC
- REWARD$1.71May 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$247.05May 11, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$10.19May 11, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$13.52May 11, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$729.99May 11, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2.34May 11, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$91.90May 11, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?$29.00May 11, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMIran leadership change by April 30?$300.01May 11, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?$869.99May 11, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?$584.33Apr 29, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?$28.72Apr 29, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Data Center" during April press conference?$49.20Apr 29, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?$8.48Apr 29, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?$0.30Apr 29, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?$0.96Apr 29, 18:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $110.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 11:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".