Favorable-Motion
0x152fdae6b14b9131a61ec77ed61dda50f68da549
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$35.3K
Total PnL
$-13.8K
Realised
$-4.6K
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
296341 shares @ 3.4¢·now 4.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.0K
$1.8K
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
285678 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.4K
$314.25
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
112064 shares @ 5.3¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.9K
$-2.0K
- YES
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?
72292 shares @ 5.8¢·now 3.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$2.6K
$-1.7K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
31250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.3K
$-156.25
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
104815 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.4K
$233.21
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
49554 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$966.30
$-83.65
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
114993 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$862.45
$-2.1K
- NO
Will Trump attend NATO Summit?
3469 shares @ 29.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$815.10
$-191.89
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
20079 shares @ 6.5¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$803.15
$-497.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$350.00May 18, 00:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$450.00May 18, 00:52 UTC
- YIELD$2.38May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$180.00May 17, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$500.00May 17, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?$500.00May 17, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$39.99May 17, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$300.00May 17, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?$339.68May 17, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$58.00May 17, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$200.00May 17, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$251.49May 17, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$363.67May 17, 23:18 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$367.67May 17, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.5KMay 17, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$120.00May 17, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$18.76May 17, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$130.50May 17, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$20.73May 17, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$169.95May 17, 06:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $397.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 06:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".